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Apply machine learning algorithms to predict at-risk students to admission period

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

16 Scopus citations

Abstract

Educational organizations have a high burden of treating students with poor academic success (At-risk students). Many methods are pursued to help this group of pupils, such as psychological, a proper schedule for the vulnerable pupil, recall, personal training, mock-tests, private education by direct studies, or the success centers. However, these approaches are not enough to deal with the dilemma, since other variables are impacting the success of the learner, which may be their family problems, their cognitive style, Their previous academic accomplishment, the cornerstone of the college level. This paper explores the effect of pre-college academic accomplishments on the success of college students in the computer program. The pilot study predicts student academic success based on their math (EmSAT Math), English (EmSAT English), and High School Average (High School Average) knowledge and skills acquired by students before college entry. The study covers 120 students. After cleaning up the available data, we are left with 112 instances used to train machine learning models to predict learner performance in the computer program. The qualified models achieved a high precision of 90.5 percent (Naive Bayes, Decision Tree, Random Forest), while the Logistic Regression achieved a forecast accuracy of 78.1 percent. The main symptom for the student's academic status was the score in English, followed by the score in Math. The research has shown that the high school score is not the secret to predicting students with academic status at their college stage.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2020 7th International Conference on Information Technology Trends, ITT 2020
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages190-195
Number of pages6
ISBN (Electronic)9781728183787
DOIs
StatePublished - 25 Nov 2020
Event7th International Conference on Information Technology Trends, ITT 2020 - Virtual, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Duration: 25 Nov 202026 Nov 2020

Publication series

Name2020 7th International Conference on Information Technology Trends, ITT 2020

Conference

Conference7th International Conference on Information Technology Trends, ITT 2020
Country/TerritoryUnited Arab Emirates
CityVirtual, Abu Dhabi
Period25/11/2026/11/20

Keywords

  • Academic success
  • At-risk students
  • Learners' cognitive
  • Learning differences
  • Machine learning for academic predication
  • Per-admission evaluation
  • Students' retention

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